Correlation does not Prove Causation
“The chirping of birds outside my windows before the sun rises is consistent with the idea that chirping causes the sun to rise”.
John McLean
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Correlation does not Prove Causation“The chirping of birds outside my windows before the sun rises is consistent with the idea that chirping causes the sun to rise”. John McLean Climate Crusaders Conned in CopenhagenThe Carbon Sense Coalition today called on the Australian Parliament to repudiate the Copenhagen giveaways promised by PM Rudd to the failed states of Africa and the welfare beggars of the islands. The Chairman of “Carbon Sense”, Mr Viv Forbes, said that the three Climate Crusaders, Obama, Brown and Rudd, had been comprehensively conned in Copenhagen by African mendicants and fakers from the islands. “They have agreed to hand over mega-bucks of our money (anywhere from $5 billion to $100 billion) as compensation for alleged damage caused by our production of carbon dioxide – the Africans citing climate damage and the islanders claiming rising sea levels. “Even a cursory examination of the facts would prove that both of these claims are fraudulent. Complete news release: http://carbon-sense.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/conned-in-copenhagen.pdf [PDF, 153 KB] IPCC/CRU Research Methods“First gather the facts; then you can distort them at your leisure.” Mark Twain How Consensus WorksQ: How many climate scientists does it take to change a light bulb? A: None. There’s a consensus that it’s going to change, so they’ve decided to keep us in the dark. Science Not Settled After All“Well, the thing is we’re dealing with an incomplete understanding of the “When we come to the last few years, where we haven’t seen a continuation “These people work with models, computer modelling, when the computer “…sure for the last few years we have gone through a slight cooling Tim Flannery, ABC Lateline 23 Nov 2009 Pirates in CopenhagenThe Somali pirates have nothing on the bunch who turned up in Copenhagen, seeking to plunder the world and divvy up the loot under the guise of ‘saving the planet’. I heard even Mugabe was there, after reducing his nation from rich Rhodesia to poor Zimbabwe, looking for a handout under the latest fable, ‘the Carbon Debt’ supposedly owed to the poor countries by the rich countries. There is only one carbon debt, and that is the debt every inhabitant of this planet owes to carbon dioxide. Without adequate amounts of this in the atmosphere, plant life suffocates, and we could not grow enough crops to feed the population. To quote Freeman Dyson ‘The fundamental reason why carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is critically important to biology is that there is so little of it. A field of corn growing in full sunlight in the middle of the day uses up all of the carbon dioxide within a metre of the ground in about five minutes’. Surely it’s time to confront the immorality of scaring children witless with images of ‘threatened bears’ (polar and koala) and ‘dying’ reefs and then exploiting their fears with cheap political stunts. Please, no more scares and no more talkfests, whether in Mexico in 2010, or Cairns in 2011 (neither city has reported snow yet). The money would be better spent on improved and reliable water, power and transport systems. Education about how this country became prosperous would also be a good investment into a prosperous future otherwise we can descend from A to Z (Australia to Zimbabwe) faster than in a Mad Max movie. John McRobert The Other Copenhagen Climate ConferenceBy Cliff Ollier, 2009. I was lucky enough to be invited to the “Climate Challenge” conference in Copenhagen in December 2009. The aim of this small two-day conference was to throw a challenge to the science of the main Copenhagen conference. We had a few experts who presented their views and evidence. Niklas Morner, world expert on sea level, showed that sea levels are not rising at an alarming rate anywhere, including the Maldives and Tuvalu. NZ Study Indicates More Faulty Temperature DataA long-forgotten scientific paper on temperature trends in New Zealand may be the smoking gun on temperature manipulation worldwide. Since Climategate first broke, we’ve seen scandal over temperature adjustments by NZ’s National Institute of Water and Atmospheric research, NIWA, which in turn prompted a fresh look at raw temperature data from Darwin and elsewhere. Now, a study published in the NZ Journal of Science back in 1980 reveals weather stations at the heart of NIWA’s claims of massive warming were shown to be unreliable and untrustworthy by a senior Met Office climate scientist 30 years ago, long before global warming became a politically charged issue. The story is published in tonight’s TGIF Edition [PDF, 3.9MB, or just the relevant first page: http://carbon-sense.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/tgif-20091218-p1.pdf PDF, 294 KB], and has international ramifications. To follow the full story by Ian Wishart go to: http://briefingroom.typepad.com/the_briefing_room/2009/12/nz-study-may-hold-key-to-faulty-world-temp-data.html A Choice for our Times – Freedom or International Bureaucracy?“A free society releases the energies and abilities of people to pursue their own objectives. It prevents some people from arbitrarily suppressing others. It does not prevent some people from achieving positions of privilege, but so long as freedom is maintained, it prevents those positions of privilege from becoming institutionalized; they are subject to continued attack by other able, ambitious people. Freedom means diversity but also mobility. It preserves the opportunity for today’s disadvantaged to become tomorrow’s privileged and, in the process, enables everyone, from top to bottom, to enjoy a fuller and richer life”. Milton Friedman in his great book “Free to Choose”. (Dr Friedman got a Nobel Prize back in the day when they meant something) NZ Study Indicates More Faulty Temperature DataA long-forgotten scientific paper on temperature trends in New Zealand may be the smoking gun on temperature manipulation worldwide. Since Climategate first broke, we’ve seen scandal over temperature adjustments by NZ’s National Institute of Water and Atmospheric research, NIWA, which in turn prompted a fresh look at raw temperature data from Darwin and elsewhere. Now, a study published in the NZ Journal of Science back in 1980 reveals weather stations at the heart of NIWA’s claims of massive warming were shown to be unreliable and untrustworthy by a senior Met Office climate scientist 30 years ago, long before global warming became a politically charged issue. To follow the full story by Ian Wishart go to: http://briefingroom.typepad.com/the_briefing_room/2009/12/nz-study-may-hold-key-to-faulty-world-temp-data.html |