Climate Sceptics news – 11/09/09


The political climate continues to hot up, with more double dissolution triggers possible as the senate continues to reject government legislation. One would expect a double dissolution is going to be an option for Kevin Rudd to call from February next year.

I have included a PowerPoint® slide show (http://carbon-sense.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/ashby-presentation.pps, 2.6MB) for you to pass around to your email contacts or to use at any community group meetings you get a chance to put something on.

Please send it to whoever you like.

Leon Ashby
President The Climate Sceptics
PO, Box 721, Mt Gambier SA 5290
Ph 0887259561 or 0887235550
info@climatesceptics.com.au
http://www.climatesceptics.com.au/



Concern on Carbon Costs of Camel Cull


The Chairman of the Carbon Sense Coalition, Mr Viv Forbes, today claimed that the plan by Australian PM Rudd to cull one million camels may have unexpected carbon tax consequences.

Forbes explains:
“PM Rudd proposes to spend $19 million shooting one million wild camels.

“A big camel probably weighs about a tonne, so Mr Rudd is going to let a million tonnes of valuable meat rot under the Centralian sun.

“Each camel probably has about 190 kg of carbon sequestered in its body. As it rots and absorbs oxygen, this carbon will increase into about 700 kg of carbon dioxide which will then dissipate into the atmosphere.

“If the Australian Senate is silly enough to pass the Wong carbon dioxide Ration-n-Tax Scheme this shootout will thus trigger a huge carbon tax liability.

“At a carbon emission price of say $40 per tonne of carbon dioxide, the carbon tax on one million rotting camels would be about $28 million.

“If we add to that the actual cull costs of about $19 million and the carbon tax due on helicopter emissions and other activities, the total cost of the cull is about $50 million.

“This illustrates the dangers of costly unexpected consequences resulting from complex poorly designed bills being rushed through both Australian and US Legislatures by Mr Rudd and his buddy Mr Obama. Luckily Senators in both countries will probably reject this nonsense.
(more…)



Cost and Quantity of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Avoided by Wind Generation


This paper by Peter Lang, “…contains a simple analysis of the amount of greenhouse gas emissions avoided by wind power and the cost per tonne of emissions avoided. It puts these figures in context by comparing them with some other ways of reducing greenhouse gas emissions from electricity generation.”

and concludes:

“1. Wind power does not avoid significant amounts of greenhouse gas emissions.
“2. Wind power is a very high cost way to avoid greenhouse gas emissions.
“3. Wind power, even with high capacity penetration, can not make a significant contribution to reducing greenhouse gas emissions.”

Read the full document here [PDF, 177 KB].

See also: http://www.masterresource.org/2009/11/wind-integration-incremental-emissions-from-back-up-generation-cycling-part-i-a-framework-and-calculator/



Australian Beef Association is Totally Opposed to any form of Emissions Trading


The Concept is Similar to a Gambling Casino Based on Hot Air

ABA Chairman, Brad Bellinger said, “The ABA Board had met last week and decided to oppose any form of Emissions Trading. He said that the Australian Government will be acting like speculative fools, if it goes down a path of trading something that cannot be accurately measured.”
(more…)



No Warming for 13 Years


No warming for 13 years, so why are we still listening to the Alarmists.

Lower troposphere temperature from satellites, updated to January 2011.

Global monthly average lower troposphere temperature

Global monthly average lower troposphere temperature (thin line) since 1979 according to University of Alabama at Huntsville, USA. The thick line is the simple running 37 month average.

For many more graphs see: http://www.climate4you.com/Text/Climate4you_January_2011.pdf [PDF, 1.3 MB]



Global Cooling


Climate alarmist, Al Gore, who has been predicting for the last two decades that we are all going to experience runaway global warming, was dealt a blow last month when his home town Nashville Tennessee experienced July’s coldest day on record since 1877. http://www.wsmv.com/weather/20116659/detail.html

His string of failed predictions were supported by the British Met office’s sixty six million dollar (AU) computer modeling. They both incorrectly predicted 2009 would be one of the five warmest years ever. The world has just experienced two of the coldest and snowiest winters in decades.

Even Dr Michael Mann of “hockey stick” fame has done a back-flip stating that global temperatures will continue to decline for another decade – then we will experience the warmest years ever. Even though Al Gore, the Met Office, Dr Mann and his “hockey stick” graph have been proved wildly wrong, Kevin Rudd’s propaganda machine will now move into overdrive selling the Emission Trading Scheme. The ETS is the most expensive piece of fiction in the history of Australian politics and will achieve absolutely nothing.

John McLeish



Emissions Trading and Agriculture


[An abbreviated version of this article first appeared at Quadrant Online: http://www.quadrant.org.au/blogs/doomed-planet/2009/08/viv-forbes]

Most of human history has been a struggle for food and energy.

The abundance of food in the western world during the last century or so is not the normal human condition. Snow and ice, drought and famine have been regular and persistent visitors to mankind.

We are lucky to live in a time of recent natural global warming. Warmth increases plant growth rate, lengthens the growing season, expands plant habitat and makes more land arable. As the oceans warm, they expel some of their vast reserves of carbon dioxide, the essential atmospheric plant food. Warm oceans also produce more evaporation, and thus more precipitation for adjacent land masses. Man’s recent production of carbon dioxide from burning coal and oil and calcining limestone has also helped to unlock buried carbon and restore valuable carbon dioxide to the biosphere.

Warmth, water and more abundant carbon dioxide have been the main causes of the 20th century Green Revolution which has enabled farmers to feed the growing millions on earth.

All these beneficial developments are threatened by two things – the distinct possibility of a return to natural global cooling, and silly government policies all over the western world that will slash food production.

Read the full document here [PDF, 50KB]



The Emissions Trading Industry: Dr David Evans


“The newest game by the banks is carbon emissions trading. The plan is to manufacture emission credit certificates out of thin air, trade them between big financial companies, and compel the rest of us pay for them by producing real goods and services. The new financial slavery.

“Carbon emission permits are the latest paper currency, brought to you by the same crowd who profited from the world’s largest financial bubble. Same structure, same modus operandi, same beneficiaries, same exaggerations, half-truths, and tricky government statistics.” [P. 2]

“Emissions trading by the finance industry was $120 billion in 2008. This will grow to over $1 trillion by 2012, and carbon emission permit trading will be the largest “commodity” market in the world—larger than oil, steel, rice, or wheat. Typically the finance industry will pocket 1% – 5% of that turnover. So even now their financial interest matches the alarmist spending, and soon will vastly exceed it.” [P. 30]

Dr David Evans 2009, Manufacturing Money and Global Warming, SPPI, Haymarket, VA, USA. www.scienceandpublicpolicy.org



The Secret of Global Warming – Posh Anti-Capitalism


By Martin Durkin

Poor Al Gore. Global warming is fast turning into a joke. From the jolly Hockey Stick (remember that one) to the topsy-turvy ice core data (what a howler), from the laughable computer models, to the dodgy temperature records … not a single scrap of global warming garbage has escaped the blistering, excoriating scrutiny of McIntyre, Lindzen, Christy, Spencer, Singer, Carter & Co. The awkward-squad army of sceptics have kicked and trampled this theory to death, not once, but a hundred times over.

And yet, for all the onslaught of reasoned, scientific argument, the global warming beast refuses to lie down. Like some beleagured, maniac cyborg from the future, it just goes on and on. We all know the reason. The edifice of global warming is built not on science, but politics.

But what kind of politics? This is the first in a series of blog pieces to explore the green politics behind global warming …..

A BEGINNERS GUIDE TO POSH ANTI-CAPITALISM

The next time you’re forced to attend a dinner party, keep an eye out for the global warmer. Then ask him what he thinks about supermarkets (wicked), ‘consumer society’ (soulless), world trade (cruel) and government regulation (more needed). Global warmers are, in short, anti-capitalist. But – and here’s the really important thing to understand – it’s a very specific form of anti-capitalism. We might call it posh anti-capitalism.

In the old days, when there was less swearing on TV and kids were scared of policemen, anti-capitalism was coloured Red. The Reds complained that capitalism would cause the ‘immiseration’ of the workers, and they dreamed of giant socialist factories, out-producing the West.

The tragedy (for the Reds) was that capitalism didn’t play ball. Instead of getting poorer, ordinary folk got richer – much, much richer. For the simple reason that capitalist mass production must necessarily go hand in hand with mass consumption. What the new-leftists call ‘consumer society’.

But these days, anti-capitalists are coloured Green. They campaign not in the name of the working class, but of ‘Earth’. Instead of giant factories, they dream of little handicraft workshops and organic peasant farms. They complain not that capitalism will impoverish the workers, but, on the contrary, that capitalism has made them too rich. It is the very success of capitalism that seems to upset them.

Source: http://www.martindurkin.com/blogs/secret-global-warming-posh-anti-capitalism

For a print ready pdf of the full article see: http://carbon-sense.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/durkin-posh-anti-capitalism.pdf [PDF, 42 KB]

Martin Durkin is a documentary film director and TV producer. Of the various prizes for his wonderful films, the one he is most proud of is the Free Enterprise Award, given him recently by the Institute of Economic Affairs. Previous winners include F.A. Hayek and Margaret Thatcher. He is currently directing on a feature-length film on Margaret Thatcher for Channel Four Television. One of his masterpieces is the film “The Great Global Warming Swindle”.

He is founder and managing director of Wag TV, which was listed among Britain’s top ten TV production companies in an industry poll conducted by REAL SCREEN magazine. He has served on the steering committees of the World Congress of Science Producers and lives in London with his wife and their four children.



Sea Level Changes


I have spent 55 years in the engineering profession where ignoring the evidence often kills people. Thus I am predisposed to look at the evidence before drawing conclusions.

Many articles and claims about sea levels are in conflict with the evidence.

For instance, sea level has been rising at something between 2 and 3 mm per year since the end of the Little ice age. As you can see from the graph, there is no indication that the rate of sea level rise is increasing. There is some indication that the rate of rise has reduced slightly since 2006.

http://sealevel.colorado.edu

global-mean-sea-level

In addition, the Australian Bureau of Meteorology set up a chain of sea level measuring stations around Australia and in the Pacific that are the most accurate in the world. As you can see from the chart, the sea level at Tuvalu dropped markedly during the 1997 – 1998 El Niño and since 2000 it has been substantially constant. Claims that Tuvalu is sinking beneath rising sea levels caused by man-made carbon dioxide therefore cannot be true. it is most unfortunate that many people who choose to spread this rumour have not bothered to look at the data. It is particularly unfortunate for the population of Tuvalu because they have been told that their very real problems with erosion are beyond their control when, in fact, they have largely caused them by taking too much fresh water out of the water table and by mining the reef for coral to reclaim land. If the powers that be recognised that this is the case, then aid could be concentrated on solving the real problems, not the imaginary ones.

One division is 100 mm.

global-mean-sea-level-2

Others claim that Pacific Islands are disappearing. Once again, this does not stack up against the evidence:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/australiaandthepacific/tuvalu/7799503/Pacific-islands-growing-not-shrinking-due-to-climate-change.html

ftp://soest.hawaii.edu/coastal/Climate%20Articles/Atolls%20Growing%20Kench%202010.pdf

Bryan Leyland MSc, FIEE(rtd), FIMechE, FIPENZ.

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