Evidence Trumps the Phony Consensus.

We are lectured monotonously about the “consensus” that carbon dioxide produced by human activities is “highly likely to cause dangerous global warming”. The alarmist computer models are all based on this assumption, with predicted warming multiplied by also assuming strong positive feedbacks.

A consensus of opinion never determines a scientific question – real proof depends on evidence and logic. Consensus is a tool of politics and a guidepost for lemmings.

[We and the cartoon creator, Steve Hunter, have full rights to this cartoon, and grant permission for anyone to reproduce it in any media as long as the Steve Hunter signature remains on it. For electronic media, the source link should also be displayed.]

The so-called “Greenhouse Effect” depends entirely on the known property of carbon dioxide gas to intercept radiant heat in certain wavelengths. This process starts operating as soon as the extra gas enters the atmosphere.

If this influence is strong enough to drive “dangerous global warming”, its effect should be noticeable even in the short term, with Earth’s surface temperature increasing in step with increasing carbon dioxide.

Carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has been steadily increasing for over a century, but global temperatures have fluctuated in broad cycles decades long, and the temperature trend has been flat for the last 17 years.

This evidence suggests that increasing carbon dioxide is not a major driver for dangerous global warming, no matter what the consensus says – even if a million people say a foolish thing, it is still a foolish thing.

We may still get natural global warming, as the vast restless oceans roll over or the solar cycles change, but man-made carbon dioxide is not driving these processes. Moreover, a bit of warming is not our greatest risk – history shows that ice ages extinguish more species and habitats than warm eras.

The consensus of alarmists is trying to lynch an innocent party.

If you would like to see what others have said about this article, or have a say yourself, see:
http://pickeringpost.com/story/evidence-trumps-the-phony-consensus/3371

More, as well as:

• Retrospective Global Warming hits Rosevale
• Ministry of Truth orders Crackdown on Climate Sceptics.
• Sea Levels are Never Still.
• Hollywood seeks Arab Oil Money to Attack US Shale Oil
• Farewell and a Tribute to Ray Evans.
• The Last Word – Take a Trip to Las Vegas

Read the full report: http://carbon-sense.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/phony-consensus.pdf [PDF, 100KB]

Keywords: Consensus, adjusting temperature records, BBC, sceptics, sea levels, Hollywood, Arab oil money, Ray Evans, Lavoisier, Heartland Conference.

The recent Earth Hour advertisements exhorted us to turn off the lights in the evening and enjoy a “candle-lit dinner” instead.

This crystallised in my mind the idiocy of this event – everyone knows candles produce more CO2 per lumen than the incandescent bulb, and lots more than a fluorescent bulb.

This is symbolic of the retreat from reason that is Earth Hour – not one single coal-powered station in the country will shut down for earth hour, so no power will be saved, it will instead be wasted.

The fact that “2,848 cities, towns and municipalities in 84 countries have already committed to Vote Earth for Earth Hour 2009” is evidence of nothing but a form of mass hysteria.

The fact that China, India and emerging countries lead the call for action on climate change is a cynical act of hypocrisy, given that they are calling for action by everyone else but China, India and emerging countries.

These countries are themselves the fastest growing “polluters” in the world – China now exceeds the carbon footprint of the USA, and India is not far behind.

The Vote Earth movement seems to me to be a rejection of the Age of Enlightenment in favour of a return to the dim glow of medieval ignorance, where modern-day peasants will sit smugly in the dark as a form of Mother Nature worship.

As Earth Hour asks us to symbolically turn off the light of reason, I have decided to Vote Human instead and turn every light in the house on tomorrow night – I encourage you all to do the same.

In the immortal words of Dylan Thomas: “Rage, rage against the dying of the light!”

ALLEN HORRELL
Oatlands
8th April 2009

See also:

http://www.rossmckitrick.com/uploads/4/8/0/8/4808045/earthhour.pdf
http://www.briansussman.com/environment/more-green-stupidity-earth-hour/
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/technology/miloyiannopoulos/9307847/Earth_Hour_is_stupid_and_pointless_Leave_the_blasted_lights_on/

Earth has only three significant sources of energy.

First is geothermal energy from Earth’s molten core and decaying radioactive minerals in Earth’s crust. This energy moves continents, powers volcanoes and its heat migrates towards the crust, warming the lithosphere and the deep oceans. It can be harvested successfully in favourable locations, and radioactive minerals can be extracted to provide large amounts of reliable heat for power generation.

Second is energy stored in combustible hydrocarbon minerals such as coal, oil, gas, tar sands and oil shale. These all store solar and geothermal energy collected eons ago and they are the primary energy sources supporting the modern world and its large and growing populations.

Third are radiation and gravitational energies from the Sun and Moon which are captured by the biosphere as heat, winds, tides, rain, rivers and in biomass such as forests, crops and animals. These are the natural “Green” energies that support all processes of life and still support a peasant existence for some peoples.

Green zealots believe that we can and should run modern societies exclusively on “Green” energies, and they have embarked on a war on hydrocarbons. They need to be told that their green energy favourites are just stealing from the biosphere – they are not as green as they claim.
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Mirrors and Mazes

A Short Easy-To-Read Book On Climate

Mirrors and Mazes: A guide to the climate debate. Dr Howard Thomas Brady.

Emeritus Professor Cliff Ollier, has reviewed this book in the New Concepts in Global Tectonics Journal (V4,no1,2016). Ollier explains that the title Mirrors and Mazes reflects the author’s idea of how the IPCC and others have acted like magicians tricking their audience and Ollier comments: I have read many books on climate but have found much new material here.

The late Professor Bob Carter commented: this book is just plain interesting and reads extremely well.

Emeritus Professor Peter Flood in his review comments: “This is indeed one of those rare book on climate: it is a concise and clear reader, while also profoundly rich in its concepts, analysis and scope, addressing the critical issues in the climate debate. There are no distracting emotional attacks on individuals. There is humour. There are interesting stories.

http://www.mirrorsandmazes.com.au

As background, the author was one of the site geologists for the first drill holes into rock on the Antarctic mainland (Dry Valley Drilling Project) and the first drill holes through the Ross Ice Shelf (Ross Ice Shelf Project). In 2011 Dr. Brady was presented the Alumnus Scientist of the Year Award by the Dean of Northern Illinois University for his contributions to Antarctic science. The author now lives in Canberra, Australia.

Publisher: Mirrors and Mazes, Canberra, Australia. 2016, 175p.
 In Australia the book can be purchased for $20.00 from the website http://www.mirrorsandmazes.com.au. You can actually give this book to your non-scientists friends for an enjoyable quiet afternoon read. It was written for them. Full details and reviews of the book can be read on the website. Overseas the book is printed and distributed by Amazon in North America, UK and Europe in the currencies of those countries.

It seems that a self indulgent government has already spent much of the money it will raise with a tax on carbon dioxide – on promoting its own agenda.

Most recent is the Flannery “Climate Commission” soaking up $5.6 million. Then the Garnaut Review of the Garnaut report. Then the well staffed experts serving the Green/ALP coalition’s “multi party committee on climate change”.

Then all the juicy jaunts to the never ending international conferences in all the world’s best resorts.

As Alan Moran, says using tax payer funds to convince tax payers to part with more funds is the hallmark of the state where nanny knows best.

For Alan Moran’s report on the carbon tax and propaganda see:
http://carbon-sense.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/carbon-taxes-and-propaganda.pdf [PDF, 21 KB]

See also:
http://carbon-sense.com/2010/02/16/green-jobs-galore/

A Statement by Viv Forbes, Founding Secretary of “Clexit” (Climate Exit).
31 August 2016

To view this release with all images intact click:
http://clexit.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/clexit.pdf

For at least a decade we have been told by the UN/IPCC, by most government media and officials, by many politicians, and by the Green “charities” and their media friends that “the science is settled”. We are lectured by Hollywood stars, failed politicians and billionaire speculators that anyone who opposes the World War on Carbon Dioxide is ignorant, mischievous or supporting some hidden vested interest. We endure calls for an end to free speech for climate sceptics, smearing with derogatory terms like “denier”, and even aggressive punishments like dismissal and legal action against sceptics for speaking out. The new low is the use of anti-racketeer legislation against sceptics:
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/08/29/rico-charges-against-climate-deniers-a-case-of-goose-and-gander/

We notice the sudden and unexplained denial of pre-booked sceptic conference facilities and the steadfast refusal of alarmists to debate facts and issues.

Why are they so afraid of words? Surely this is a sign that their facts are shonky and their arguments are feeble? They fear they are losing the confidence of the public.
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On Earth Day we should Celebrate The True Green Fuels – Hydrocarbons and Nuclear.

The Carbon Sense Coalition today urged people to celebrate the true green fuels – oil, coal, gas, nuclear and, in places, geothermal and hydro.

The Chairman of “Carbon Sense”, Mr Viv Forbes, said that these fuels have reduced man’s pressure on the environment to such an extent that they should be celebrated on “Earth Day”.
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The Percival Effect
Correlations, Causes and Dis-proofs

Every morning just before dawn our rooster crows and soon afterwards the sun comes up. We have observed no exceptions over three months – clear evidence of perfect correlation. Therefore we have concluded that the crowing rooster causes the sun to rise.

My wife Flora (who believes that the Cooee birds bring the rain) said: “I knew that ages ago – Professor Percival told me.”

So I consulted Professor Percival, our neighbour. He is Professor Emeritus in the “Science in Society” Department at Top-Line University. He specialises in the effect of sound waves on atmospheric transmissivity. He says that some roosters produce sound waves of just the right frequency to affect the dawn visibility through the thick morning atmosphere. He has written pal-reviewed papers on the subject which has been named “The Percival Effect”. In all the hallowed halls, it is regarded as “settled science”.

Cartoon credit: http://stevehunterillustrations.com.au/political-cartoons/

However, we decided that our rooster was not doing his day job, so he ended up as roast dinner last night.

Flora was very concerned – “what if the sun does not appear at all tomorrow?” she wailed.

But the sun rose as normal.

Flora was relieved but a concerned Professor Percival went off to check his calculations “for feedback loops”. He is still checking.

One thing was proved conclusively in just one day – the rooster’s crowing does not make the sun appear. Something else causes the sun to rise. Our ninety-two correlations did not prove causation. But just one disproof was needed to kill the Percival Effect.

So it is with the Greenhouse Effect. For about 20 years now, carbon dioxide levels have risen steadily but global temperatures are trending level. Therefore CO2 does not control global temperature.

One disproof is all that is needed.

“No amount of experimentation can ever prove me right; a single experiment can prove me wrong.” – Albert Einstein

(Disclosure: Big Rooster has not funded any of this research.)

Read More:
“The claim that increased carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere is causing “global warming” . . has no more scientific foundation than the bloodletting of past generations:”
http://news.heartland.org/newspaper-article/2007/05/01/carbon-dioxide-levels-are-blessing-not-problem

Acknowledgement: I am indebted to the late Bert Kelly, MP, for introducing me to “Farmer Fred” many years ago. Bert was a Liberal MP from South Australia, who became famous for his regular media articles by “Modest Member”. Bert was one of the most sensible men to ever be elected to Parliament, and one of the founders of “The Dries” so naturally did not advance far in Parliament. Some of his history can be found here: http://bertkelly.org.au/
Here is the first Modest Member column, from 1969, where Bert introduces his main characters including Fred the farmer: http://economics.org.au/2011/04/first-modest-member-bert-kelly-afr-column/

Read more, as well as:

• Recycling Burps and Farts
• Keep Them Airborne, All the Time
• Restoring a Sense of Perspective
• The Hottest Afternoon EVAAH!!

Read the full report: http://carbon-sense.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/farmer-fred.pdf [PDF, 269KB]

Keywords: Greenhouse Effect, correlations, causes, dis-proofs, sheep, emissions, targets, methane, travel rorts, temperature
data manipulation, Paris Conference.

The Combatants:

The next couple of months pose great dangers for the free democracies. The most powerful politicians, power seekers, speculators and religions of the world are openly or secretly conspiring to embrace the One-World Climate Religion as a front for their one world-government ambitions.

The Leaders of this Unholy Alliance are:

• The Pope with his socialist agenda and his dreams of rejuvenating Catholic leadership in world matters by embracing trendy causes.

Source: http://stevehunterillustrations.com.au/political-cartoons/

• The UN/IPCC whose sustainability rules, heritage no-go areas and green barriers are already affecting every industry and every law book in the world (but mainly in the compliant western nations).
• Obama who seeks a last-minute legacy for his disruptive era of non-achievements.
• Crusading Royals such as Prince Charles; frustrated politicians such as Mikhail Gorbachev; power-seeking magnates such as George Soros; tinsel-town idols seeking more purpose in their make-believe lives; would-be messiahs and prophets-of-doom like Tim Flannery; guilt-stricken millionaires and the rich foundations and NGO’s whose control has been captured by the extreme green/left.
• China and its ruthless central controllers, who will manufacture most of the useless green energy machines and hardware.
• The un-elected EU bureaucracy with its growing power over most of Europe.
• The Turnbull/Bishop/Hunt/ALP/Greens carbon-tax-coalition now ruling Australia.
• Most western bureaucracies who hope to be local enforcers and tax collectors for the new world order.
• The old Marxists who suddenly see new hope for their jaded dreams.

Read the full report: http://carbon-sense.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/battle-in-paris-2.pdf [PDF, 154KB]

The weather at any spot is usually defined by max/min temperatures, humidity, precipitation and wind strength/direction. Weather varies hourly, daily, season-to-season and place-to- place. These weather measurements at any place can be averaged over various time periods.

Climate is defined as the average of thirty years of weather.

[We and the cartoon creator, Steve Hunter, have full rights to this cartoon, and grant permission for anyone to reproduce it in any media as long as the Steve Hunter signature remains on it. For electronic media, the source link should also be displayed.]

Weather statistics can be averaged over larger areas, such as by region, state, continent or the globe. This is a mathematical abstraction, becoming less accurate and less meaningful as the time or area covered increases. A global average annual temperature which (after debatable adjustments) includes winter in the Antarctic and summer in the Sahara is irrelevant. No one lives in the global average temperature. Weather and climate have been so politicised that most commentaries are now merely propaganda.

In the Brave New World of global warming alarmists, a long frigid winter is “just weather”, but one stinking hot summer day is “clear evidence of dangerous man-made climate change”.

And despite an un-predicted 17 years of stable global temperature trends, their prophets still chant their doleful dirge: “Unless we have a carbon tax, extreme weather disasters are coming your way soon”.

If you would like to comment on the above article go to: http://pickeringpost.com/story/weather-vs-climate/3140

More, as well as:

• Modelling Madness
• Clive Palmer’s Climate Gift Horse
• Aliens Cause Global Warming?
• Budget Should Cut Climatism Costs
• New Book from Ian Plimer: “Not for Greens”
• Believe it or Not – Al Gore Grilled at Last

Read the full report: http://carbon-sense.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/weather-vs-climate.pdf [PDF, 109KB]

Keywords: Weather, climate, models, forecasts, Clive Palmer, Budget, climate spending, Ian Plimer, Al Gore.