Modelling Madness


garbage-in

Complex computer models are continually being used to generate incessant alarms about the future for our environment and resources – climate, weather, minerals, oil, food, water, pollution and the oceans.

Every year the computers get more expensive, and the models more complex, but their doomsday forecasts still fail.
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Bad Stuff Happens


The first climate scare was man-made “global warming”.

But the warming refused to appear as fast as the models predicted, so it became “climate change”.

But people were not stupid and soon were saying “but climate always changes”.

So now the climate scare industry is focussing on “extreme weather events”, and naturally they still claim these are caused by man-made carbon dioxide.

Timed beautifully for the meeting of the climatists in Durban, the UN IPCC has outdone themselves in forecasting extreme weather events – “weather on steroids”. Determined to scare up a consensus in Durban, this weather scare is sprinkled with warnings of “diluvian rains”, and droughts, cyclones, heat-waves of such magnitude or frequency that “settlement in some areas could be wiped out” and “some areas will become increasingly marginal as places to live” and “it is possible that many residents will have to relocate.”

Source (With thanks to CCNet):
http://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/un-scientists-forecast-more-severe-droughts-cyclones-and-floods-
20111113-1ndu0.html

Maybe they should be reminded that extreme weather events have been occurring as far back as earth history has been recorded. Here is a listing of “extreme events” over 1900 years, prepared by James Marusek:

Check them out here: http://www.breadandbutterscience.com/Weather.pdf

Here is another list of droughts, fires, floods and disappearing or growing ice. It starts with a record of sea floods that drowned 100,000 people in Holland in 1481.

See: http://www.c3headlines.com/bad-stuff-happens.html

Maybe “extreme weather events” are “normal” here on earth and man has very little to do with most of them. Someone needs to tell the pampered pontificators of the IPCC: “Bad Stuff Happens – get used to it, make appropriate preparations – you are not going to stop it.”

More:

  • A comment on extreme weather from the Soviet era
  • Back to the Dark Ages
  • The March of the Triffids
  • Exposing the Global Warming Lies
  • Wind Energy Ghosts
  • The Scientific Scandal of our Generation
  • How to Get Expelled from School
  • The Turd in the Swimming Pool
  • Feedback from a Supporter
  • The Road Ahead

See: http://carbon-sense.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/bad-stuff-happens.pdf [PDF, 76 KB]



Open Letter to the Prime Minister of Australia


OPEN LETTER TO THE PRIME MINISTER, AND TO THE LEADER OF THE OPPOSITION.

We are a group of retired scientists and engineers in Queensland, and we are alarmed at the direction our country is being taken through your respective policies, which are virtually identical, on renewable energy. Our names are listed here. We have studied this issue for years now, and we have here outlined the serious defects in your energy policy, and asked some questions which have thus far remained unanswered.

Energy Policy. By far the greatest risk to Australia’s electricity supply is the false belief that renewables (wind and solar) can be a like-for-like replacement for dispatchable fossil fuelled generators. They are not, and can never be. A one-MW wind or solar plant does not replace a one-MW coal plant. Not even close. Solar plants will produce electricity on average at 20% of their installed capacity. They produce power for little more than eight hours per day and none at all at night or on rainy days. Wind plants can be expected to produce electricity on average 25% to 30% of installed capacity, but output can be as little as 2% or as much as 70% with little warning.

Media reports in June this year referred to a “wind drought” across Southern Australia resulting in wind production being “40% below the previous corresponding period”. This is a problem but masks an even more intractable false belief; that an energy grid can run on averages. It can’t, because energy consumed has to be generated in real time. Just one example of that wind drought: at 2.20 PM on 5 th May this year, all the wind farms in Australia (4400 MW installed capacity in WA, SA, Vic, Tas and NSW) were producing just 121MW. (That’s 4400 MW capacity generating only 121MW). In fact for May and June this year this was not uncommon. Large high pressure systems over southern Australia meant little or no wind for weeks at a time.

The grid has to meet demand every minute of every day. AEMO can and does order fossil fuelled plants to produce electricity. Clearly it cannot do so for wind or solar. Just imagine Australia with a largely renewable energy system — it is night time so no solar power is being generated, and the whole of Southern Australia is dominated by high pressure systems (this is not unusual) and wind is producing at only 2% of installed capacity! To date dispatchable fossil fuelled generators have been able to shoulder the load but as dispatchable capacity is retired this may no longer be possible, with disastrous consequences.

On the face of it the answer is storage, either battery, pumped hydro or molten salt. This brings us to the next false belief; that storage is some sort of magic pudding. The capacity of current storage technologies is miniscule compared with daily demand. Australian grid demand varies between 18,000 MW minimum and 30,000 MW maximum. Over 24 hours this works out to about 600,000 MWh per day. The Tesla battery being installed in South Australia is said to be the world’s largest and to hold 129 MWh fully charged. This may be enough to support the local grid for a short time until dispatchable capacity can be started, but an unimaginable number of Tesla batteries would be necessary to maintain grid supply for a day or a week, or even longer in the worst case.
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Part Time Power


Solar power only works while the sun shines – it is part-time power.

Wind power only works when suitable winds blows – also part-time power.

Batteries only work when charged – part-time power again.

Hydro fails in droughts – more part-time power.

And using full-time power like gas to fill the inevitable supply gaps from part-time power forces backup gas to operate like part-time power.

Moreover, on sunny windy days, wind and solar generators spew out electricity at little extra cost. These erratic surges of part-time power drive short-term electricity prices so low that even low-cost full-time producers like coal cannot operate profitably at those times. They are throttled back and forced to operate as yet another part-time power plant.

24/7 electricity users such as hospitals, trains, factories, refineries, fuel and water pumps, cash registers, infrastructure and mines cannot operate on part-time electricity.

Moreover, every part-time power producer (using sun, wind, batteries, hydro, gas or coal) consumes money full-time for operations, standby, maintenance and replacement. Each also has to fund its own specialised generators, transmission lines, access roads and workforce. Electricity becomes both unreliable and expensive, and consumers suffer.

Using taxes, subsidies, dictates and mandates to replace a full-time power producer like coal with up to five part-time power producers only makes sense in the part-time minds that inhabit Greentopia.

Canberra cannot improve any of this with more laws and regulations – they must REPEAL all the legislation, regulations, subsidies and taxes that created the mess in the first place. State governments too should repeal their silly energy laws, and stop shutting and destroying power stations. More laws and regulations can only make things worse.

To comment on this article visit:

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/10/18/green-power-is-part-time-power/

Viv Forbes

26 Nov 2017



Parasitic Power Producers


Promoting Parasitic Power Producers

Wind and solar are parasitic power producers, unable to survive in a modern electricity grid without the back-up of stand-alone electricity generators such as hydro, coal, gas or nuclear. And like all parasites, they weaken their hosts, causing increased operating and transmission costs and reduced profits for all participants in the grid.

Without subsidies, few large wind/solar plants would be built; and without mandated targets, few would get connected to the grid.

Green zealots posing as energy engineers should be free to play with their green energy toys at their own expense, on their own properties, but the rest of us should not be saddled with their costs and unreliability.

We should stop promoting parasitic power producers. As a first step, all green energy subsidies and targets should be abolished.

one-dark-and-windless-night
The Miracle of Green Energy – by Steve Hunter
www.stevehunterillustrations.com.au/political-cartoons/

Read more, as well as:

  • Blowing Our Dollars in the Wind
  • Five Fatal Flaws of Solar Energy
  • The Sensible Environmentalist to Visit Australia
  • Thanks for your Support
  • The Last Word – our enemies have noticed us Trilobites

Read the full report: http://carbon-sense.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/parasitic-power-producers.pdf [PDF, 150KB]

Keywords: Green energy, parasitic power, wind power, solar power, Dr Patrick Moore, the trilobites strike back.



The Greens Agenda, in Their Own Words


“For the Greens, a pristine global environment represents earthy perfection. It underpins their ‘ecological wisdom’ and is at the core of the new ethic. It is to be protected and promoted at all costs. Hence, all old growth forests are to be locked up; logging is to be prohibited; wealth is to be scorned; economic growth is opposed; exclusive ownership of property is questioned; there should be a moratorium of fossil fuels exploration; dam construction should be discouraged; genetic engineering and agricultural monoculture is rejected; world trade should be reduced; and a barter economy encouraged.”

From part 2 of The Greens Agenda by Kevin Andrews, MP.

The Greens Agenda: Part 1 – Western culture and the Greens

The Greens Agenda: Part 2 – Ideology

The Greens Agenda: Part 3 – Economic Policies

The Greens Agenda: Part 4 – Social and other policies

Note: Because of the design of the www.kevinandrews.au.com Web site, your initial visit will prompt you to sign up for his newsletter. You can choose to skip that via the lower link there “Skip signup…” Once you have done that once, the links in this posting should work directly.



Climate Change – A Common Sense Approach


By Rocky Wood

We all know the maxim that common sense just isn’t that common. Nothing proves this more than the current debate about Climate Change. ‘Global Warming’ has become the propaganda term of choice for those who make a living from scare tactics about the climate. Yet, brave souls in the scientific and political community are offering alternate views, views that receive scant regard in the mainstream media.

In a series of columns for carbon-sense.com we will investigate just how much, or little, common sense is being applied in the worldwide debate. We will expose the facts Al Gore and his cohorts don’t want the average citizen to know; and we will challenge the orthodox view that has enveloped the mass media and politicians of all stripes. More importantly, we will investigate the motivations of many of those who are on the climate change bandwagon – from simple economic avarice right through to an intent to alter the entire economic and political order.
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Shazam for PC Download – Free on Windows(7/8.1/10) Using Bluestacks


Music is an imperative piece of practically every individual and nowadays we got heaps of devices which help us to be near music. I think around one incredible music application which is accessible since numerous years. The application is named Shazam Download and I’m here with an instructional exercise on the best way to get Shazam for PC (Windows 7/8/XP) free download.

I’ll likewise share the establishment control here which you most likely need. The establishment manage will be straightforward and just like a music sweetheart so you’re certainly going to love this application.

Highlights of Shazam for PC (Windows 7/8/XP)

Shazam application gives a spotless and straightforward UI to the clients utilizing which they can discover loads of things about music. They can scan for melodies and recordings effectively.

This application can tune in to any piece of a melody and can disclose to you the total insights about it.

Ordinarily, it happens that we can’t recollect the name and points of interest of a tune however we got a little soundtrack of it or we wish to know every one of the subtle elements of a specific melody. Here comes the part of Shazam application as we can look finish insights about any tune utilizing this application.

As it’s an old application so it got an expansive database and secured a large number of melodies. It can likewise indicate you video of a specific tune over YouTube and to do as such you don’t need to do anything. The application does it naturally.

You can buy the bona fide authorized melody from the application as you do in either iTunes or some other music store. You can purchase new or old collections effectively and off base you will get best nature of that tune.

So in case you’re having a tune named ‘Track011’ or ‘See’ or some other custom name as opposed to real name of the melody then Shazam will enable you to out. This is the place Shazam is greatly helpful and you should have that introduced on your PC.

Step by step instructions to Get Shazam for PC (Windows 7/8/XP) free Download

I’m recording basic strides beneath and you have to tail them. In case you’re running on Windows 8 OS or Windows 8.1 OS then you can download Shazam for Windows 8 specifically from the Windows store or from this connection.

  • Different clients need to take after these means,
  • Shazam for PC (Windows)
  • Download BlueStacks on your PC and introduce it. This is an Android emulator utilizing which you can play Android applications on PC.
  • Run BlueStacks and utilize its hunt device to discover Shazam application.
  • You’ll discover Shazam application in the query output and after that you can introduce it inside the BlueStacks.

This is the means by which you can download Shazam for Windows (Windows 7/8/XP). Presently you can without much of a stretch utilize Shazam and discover data about any melody in that spot on your PC. I trust you discovered this instructional exercise simple and supportive so do impart it to your companions over Facebook, Twitter and Google+.



The Carbon Tax and the Spending on Propaganda


It seems that a self indulgent government has already spent much of the money it will raise with a tax on carbon dioxide – on promoting its own agenda.

Most recent is the Flannery “Climate Commission” soaking up $5.6 million. Then the Garnaut Review of the Garnaut report. Then the well staffed experts serving the Green/ALP coalition’s “multi party committee on climate change”.

Then all the juicy jaunts to the never ending international conferences in all the world’s best resorts.

As Alan Moran, says using tax payer funds to convince tax payers to part with more funds is the hallmark of the state where nanny knows best.

For Alan Moran’s report on the carbon tax and propaganda see:
http://carbon-sense.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/carbon-taxes-and-propaganda.pdf [PDF, 21 KB]

See also:
http://carbon-sense.com/2010/02/16/green-jobs-galore/



New Green Shoes from Nike – Thank God for Carbon


So Nike is now making green shoes to be a fashion statement about our carbon footprint.

I bet that the shoes are made of carbon like nearly every product man has ever produced including all clothing, whether natural or synthetic. Even when the good Lord (whether you think that is God, Gaia or Lady Chance) made life, carbon was used to do it, whether to make plants or animals. Even our DNA is made of carbon compounds, as is every part of every living thing.

If any element is to be declared sacred, it has to be carbon, considering the variety of its forms (allotropes), its great versatility and its adaptability. Carbon is used to make more compounds (especially organic compounds) than all other elements combined. We are not just made of carbon, but we actually eat it (carbo-hydrate) for energy. We depend on it to cook our food, to build our houses, to make our cars and other machinery (steel is made of iron and carbon) and to power them. If we need electrical insulation, we use a carbon product, and if we need a good conductor we also find it in a carbon product. We use carbon products to conduct heat or to insulate against heat. Not just life, but civilization, industrialization and modern communication networks could not exist without carbon just as our lives could not exist without the fourth most common element in the universe.

To demonize and make war on carbon is to demonize and make war on life itself. Since our very brains are not only made of carbon, but fuelled by carbon (mostly in the form of glucose), it is strange that thinking, conscious carbon should now turn around to make war on itself.

Our citizens as well as our school children have been so brainwashed by this anti-carbon/anti-human propaganda that many of them really think of carbon in terms of some ugly, black, toxic pollutant that now requires a Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme. Neither carbon or carbon-dioxide is a pollutant, but they are absolutely as natural and as fundamental to life as oxygen and hydrogen. Carbon is not just a girl’s best friend (diamonds are pure carbon) but carbon is life’s best friend.

Thank God for carbon!

Bob Brinsmead,
Duranbah, NSW 2487
Australia.

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